How Much Worse Can It Get? The NFC East Is Historically Bad. Do You Buy That … Biden Is Gaining With Older Voters? The Politics Podcast Answers Your Questions About The Forecast. Politics Podcast: The Road To A Senate Majority Runs Through The Sun Belt, Politics Podcast: How The Model Is Responding To Biden’s Double-Digit Lead In The Polls, Democrats Don’t Need To Win Georgia, Iowa, Ohio Or Texas — But They Could, QAnon’s Obsession With #SaveTheChildren Is Making It Harder To Save Kids From Traffickers, How President Trump Could Still Win Reelection. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. By Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Geoffrey Skelley, By Eric Feltham and Nicholas A. Christakis. Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight and the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. By Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Perry Bacon Jr. By Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Micah Cohen. Why Has Premier League Scoring Skyrocketed? © 2020 ABC News Internet Ventures. By Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Perry Bacon Jr. © 2020 ABC News Internet Ventures. Voting In The 2020 Primaries Didn’t Worsen The COVID-19 Pandemic, Why The Amy Coney Barrett Hearings Are Verging On The Absurd, Politics Podcast: What We Learned From The Amy Coney Barrett Hearings, How President Trump Could Still Win Reelection. All rights reserved. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. All rights reserved. The Vice Presidential Debate Was Civil. But Did It Shake Up The Race? Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. Democrats Don’t Need To Win Georgia, Iowa, Ohio Or Texas — But They Could, QAnon’s Obsession With #SaveTheChildren Is Making It Harder To Save Kids From Traffickers, Despite A Sexting Scandal, Democrat Cal Cunningham Is Favored In North Carolina’s Senate Race, Live Updates: We’re Tracking The Vote And Voting Problems, If Billy Beane Is Done With Baseball, He’s Left An Indelible Mark, What Amy Coney Barrett’s Confirmation Could Mean For Roe v. Wade. Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight and the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.” Latest forecasts and polls for the 2020 Senate elections by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Trump Has Three Big Problems Heading Toward Election Day.

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