Between 10 February and 26 February, 93% of PE respondents surveyed expressed confidence in their firm’s preparedness for a downturn versus 10 years ago. Bookmark content that interests you and it will be saved here for you to read or share later. The latest "Private Equity Trend Report 2020" by the auditing and consulting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) analyses the most important industry developments in the European PE market. A seesaw-shaped recovery will require a series of short-term adaptations that will differ by sector. The EY Global Capital Confidence Barometer (pdf) gauges corporate confidence in the economic outlook and identifies boardroom trends and practices in the way companies manage their Capital Agendas. 260 Mrd. Around 150 private equity fund managers based in North America, EMEA and Asia responded to the survey to give their views on the main challenges and opportunities the private equity industry is facing now and in the next 12-24months. In collaboration with the EY Advanced Insights team, the EY Private Equity team analyzed the responses of over 300 senior private equity executives. PE firms have an important role to play in providing capital, knowledge and capabilities to companies that need it. Few anticipated that entire industries could be shuttered overnight. Make sure you don't miss out on any of our daily updates: Environmental, Social and Governance strategy, https://www.penews.com/articles/venture-firms-dry-powder-reaches-record-level-20200110. Proud father of three. With a four-to-six-year hold period, and a recession on the horizon, PE firms were fully prepared to carry assets though some kind of a downturn. Respondents whose concerns weight more heavily on the portfolio, who represent 58% of those surveyed, see margin pressure, high levels of leverage and exposure to cyclical industries as primary areas of concern. You may withdraw your consent to cookies at any time once you have entered the website through a link in the privacy policy, which you can find at the bottom of each page on the website. Nonetheless, it’s clear that confidence remains high, even as the scope of the crisis has become known. PE firms will need to adapt to build resiliency now, while planning for opportunities next and beyond. Fund- and portfolio-level respondents focus on different risks and recession-prepping actions. Ardent student of consumer behavior. Research. According to the results of the latest EY PE pulse survey, 40% of PE firms were modeling a recession to hit sometime in the year. The only question now is around the length and the scope of the economic fallout from the pandemic. Now more than ever, “cash is king” holds true in the current market. Finanzinvestoren sind der Meinung, dass der Wettbewerb um attraktive Deals härter wird. In response, they’re working to diversify revenue streams and proactively communicating with limited partners (LPs) about the extent of disruption in the portfolio. Group Holding, Lesezeit Pressemitteilung. Family man. In February 2020, the longest bull market since World War II was losing momentum and several macro indicators were suggesting an impending economic downturn. This allows them to rebalance their portfolio to adjust to changing market conditions. remember settings), Performance cookies to measure the website's performance and improve your experience, Advertising/Targeting cookies, which are set by third parties with whom we execute advertising campaigns and allow us to provide you with advertisements relevant to you,  Social media cookies, which allow you to share the content on this website on social media like Facebook and Twitter. EY | Assurance | Consulting | Strategy and Transactions | Tax. However, few could have predicted the economic impact of a global pandemic. Subscribe to Bain Insights, our monthly look at the critical issues facing global businesses. Valuable lessons from the Great Recession leave PE firms with more robust capabilities to weather the next downturn. Trusted advisor to leading private equity professionals and their portfolio companies. Initial optimism around the ability to contain the outbreak around the rapid development of successful medical interventions had many believing the global economy could rebound quickly. Corporate, Almost all respondents to our study – 92% - believe there’ll be an increase in distressed fund transactions over the next 12 months. PE-Rekordlauf hält trotz abkühlender Konjunktur an. In our research, respondents who tend to focus on fund-level issues represent 42% of those surveyed. However, their confidence declined over the course of the PE pulse survey. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax, or other professional advice. According to the results of the latest EY PE pulse survey, 40% of PE firms were modeling a recession to hit sometime in the year. Respondents were clustered into two groups with distinct PE management strategies using latent class segmentation based on their expressed views on: With a sharp market contraction and looming recession, PE firms consider their options as they plan for a post-pandemic world. Fund-focused professionals are anticipating the need to renegotiate credit lines (60% versus 45% of portfolio managers); whereas portfolio managers are focused on reducing overall leverage (63% versus 44% of fund managers). Currently, PE firms have 30% more operating partners than they had five years ago. They’re having conversations about new opportunities and any flexibility required in limited partnership agreements (LPAs). The research is part of the 22nd edition of the EY Global Capital Confidence Barometer. Well over half (57%) of our respondents see the environment for private equity deteriorating over the next 12 months and of these, one in eight believes it’ll deteriorate “significantly”. At an industry level, confidence dropped from 76% in February to 70% in March. However, as the breadth and depth of the pandemic has become known, optimism for a so-called “V-shaped” recovery has given way to scenarios that anticipate deeper and more lasting macro dislocation, with protracted collapses in supply and greater deterioration in consumer and business confidence. EY is a global leader in assurance, consulting, strategy and transactions, and tax services. Firms have likewise expanded their global capabilities — once the province of a small handful of global managers, an increasing number of firms are seeking opportunities outside their home regions. Interested in family history. Global Private Equity Report 2020 Our 11th annual report shows another great year for PE. As of April 2020, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was forecasting the global economy to contract by 3.0% this year, in stark contrast to the 3.3% growth the IMF was predicting at the beginning of the year.1. In the midst of the COVID-19 outbreak, Intertrust conducted a study for their 2020 Global Private Equity Outlook report. They may need to execute on those ambitions, including extensions or additional flex in investment mandates. In the midst of the COVID-19 outbreak, Intertrust conducted a study for their 2020 Global Private Equity Outlook report. Review our cookie policy for more information. In the coming months, PE firms will increasingly turn their attention to deployment and identifying pockets of opportunity. How do you create customer intimacy without proximity? The EY Advanced Insights team brings together EY services leaders, thought leaders and data scientists to develop a data-driven understanding of the challenges and opportunities driving the economic and dealmaking landscape. In the coming months, as the M&A market begins to move again and PE firms move toward increased deployment, the industry will be well prepared. For some companies, corrective actions will be available, while others may require additional equity from the sponsor. 2 von 3. In the short-term, they can help their portfolio companies prepare to manage the economic impacts of the pandemic and build resiliency. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. Lover of animals and the outdoors. Respondents were clustered into two groups with distinct PE management strategies using latent class segmentation based on their expressed views on firm-level preparation, portfolio-level preparation, anticipation of a recession and reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. Modern Slavery Act Transparency Statement. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities. Expanded operating capabilities and increased sector expertise, Access to better tools for limited partners, Show article references#Hide article references, EY Capital Confidence Barometer, 22nd edition (pdf), Global Capital Confidence Barometer (pdf), https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-economy-poll/global-economic-contraction-to-be-steepest-on-record-recovery-u-shaped-reuters-poll-idUSKCN22600U, Shrutee Sarkar, “Global economic contraction to be steepest on record, recovery U-shaped: Reuters poll,”. Will PE make the same mistake again? Stay ahead in a rapidly changing world. Our 11th annual report shows another great year for PE. For the last several weeks, PE firms have been focused on their portfolios — putting out fires, sourcing alternate supply chains, and most importantly, making sure portfolio companies had access to liquidity amid a slowdown in the lending markets. To manage these risks, respondents say they are stress-testing their portfolios and working to make sure that companies have sufficient liquidity and working capital under a range of different pandemic scenarios. 2,3. PE firms learned valuable lessons from the Great Recession that have helped them feel more prepared for the current economic downturn at both the firm and industry levels. In addition to cookies that are strictly necessary to operate this website, we use the following types of cookies to improve your experience and our services: Functional cookies to enhance your experience (e.g. Take-privates could be a compelling starting point, given some of the valuation disconnects between publicly traded companies, many of which have fallen dramatically in recent weeks, and private companies, which tend to fall more slowly. As logjams in the deal markets resolve in the coming weeks, specifically around the ability to finance larger transactions and to conduct the required diligence, firms will concentrate on more traditional buyouts. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com. Marathoner. While many firms had significant operating capabilities before the Great Recession, their ubiquity has increased markedly over the last several years. With lending markets stalled and a limited ability to perform site visits, management team meetings and other in-person travel required for most deals, PE firms anticipate some measure of slowdown in the deal markets. PE firms with kegs of dry powder and loads of fire power are well-positioned to seize opportunities as they arise. Min. As PE firms wait to see what shape the economic recovery takes, they remain confident in the lessons they learned from the Great Recession more than 10 years ago, and in their ability to adapt and respond to today’s challenges.

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